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By
Fibre2Fashion
Published
Oct 3, 2022
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India’s YoY real GDP growth to moderate to 7.4% in 2022: US think tank

By
Fibre2Fashion
Published
Oct 3, 2022

US think tank The Conference Board recently projected year-over-year real gross domestic product growth will moderate to 7.4% in India this year before slowing to 4.6% in 2023. Rising new COVID-19 cases, slowing global demand, and a contracting housing market will continue to weigh on the growth outlook for China, it said.



The Conference Board leading economic index for India increased by 1.3% in August this year to 153.1 (2016=100), following a 0.5% decrease in July, while the same for China fell by 0.3% in the month to 165.1, following a 0.5% decline in July.

The US think tank’s coincident economic index for India fell by 1.8% in August to 150.1, following a 2.8% decline in July, while the same for China rose by 0.3% to 140, after a 0.4% rise in July.

The LEI for India improved by 5.7% in that six-month period, faster than the 4.4% growth over the previous six months. The CEI for the country increased by 7.7% in that six-month period, a slowdown from the 8.4% increase in the previous six-month period.

“While the economy [for India] should continue expanding in the near-term, the pace of growth is likely to moderate into next year. High inflation, rising interest rates, slowing global growth, and recessions in several large economies create headwinds for growth in emerging economies, including India,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, senior director of economic research at The Conference Board.

The LEI for China contracted by 4% for the February-August 2022 period, a reversal from its 4.6% growth over the previous six months, while its CEI contracted by 0.3% in that six-month period, a reversal from its 5.6% growth during the previous six months.

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